Driven by smart lighting, smart buildings, and mobile devices, the infrared (IR) detector market will reach about $500M
THE NEXT GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES WILL BE OUTSIDE TRADITIONAL MARKETS, IN SMART BUILDINGS AND MOBILE PHONES
The total infrared detector market will generate almost $500M in 2020, thanks to a mix of traditional and new markets :
o Small detector applications :
- The motion detection market is the biggest IR detector business by far with almost half of total revenue. This mature market is still growing at a fast rate (10%), thanks to the dynamic lighting market increasingly integrating IR detectors in order to provide smart lighting systems.
- Mobile device players are very interested in having an IR spot thermometer function to measure body temperature. The first wearable applications have already started. Smartphones are the next step if technical challenges are solved, with getting sufficiently high accuracy the biggest one. Detector manufacturers are confident that they will find solutions.
o Array detectors, ranging from medium size (4x4 to 16x16 pixels) to large size (32x32 and above), are expected to grow at an approximately 26% CAGR over the 2015-2020 period. Medium size arrays are increasingly implemented for better comfort by Japanese Heating, Ventilation and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems manufacturers such as Daikin, Mitsubishi and Hitachi. Large arrays are also deployed widely and successfully for retail sector people counting by Irisys/Fluke. They will be widely introduced into a key new market, smart buildings, in 2016 thanks to new products introduced at lower prices, between $10-20. These sensors provide a wide variety of useful functions for Building Management Systems (BMS) in order centrally manage lighting, door and window opening and HVAC.
This report includes market insights in units and revenue broken down by market segment and also by detector resolution. The IR detector market is forecast for 2014–2020. The report includes an overview of small IR arrays for imaging purposes, but the complete analysis of infrared imaging applications is covered in another Yole report: “Uncooled Infrared Imaging Technology & Market Trends ”.
TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS TO SUCCEED IN DRIVING COST DOWN IN ARRAYS : $10 IS THE TARGET
Pyroelectric detectors and thermopiles are the two dominant IR detector technologies today with their market share split roughly 60/40. Pyroelectric technology is the only motion detection option whereas the more recent thermopile technology is used for temperature sensing or gas detection. For arrays, the competitive landscape is more complex. For medium arrays, thermopiles dominate HVAC. For large arrays, pyroelectric detectors dominate retail sector people counting. For smart buildings it is still unclear which technology will dominate.
In parallel with this technology fight, we observe common parallel trends of increased functionality and cost reduction in the different detector markets:
o Small detectors: increased added value by increasing resolution from dual to four pixels and transition from analog to digital/calibrated sensors.
o Arrays :
- Medium arrays: increased resolution for faster/wider area detection.
- Large arrays: except for high value niche applications like retail sector people counting, cost reduction is clearly the main target in order to access smart buildings applications, where market players are used to buying low-cost motion sensors.
For large arrays, some technologies have succeeded in meeting low cost requirements:
o Thermopiles: The key array players, Excelitas and Heimann, have reduced cost by introducing new designs of their 32x32 arrays.
o A new CMOS pyroelectric array, from IRLYNX, will enter the market with a 64x64 array targeting large volumes to get below the $10 target
IR imaging technologies introduced over the past two years with 80x60 pixel resolution, microbolometers and thermodiodes, from Ulis, FLIR and Bosch, are too expensive for smart building players today, with $10 being a critical target price threshold. However, IR imaging costs could drop rapidly in the long term if it is adopted in smartphones.
To reduce cost, manufacturers are focusing their technological development on the different parts of the detector: array pixel size, packaging, and optics are among the priorities. In this report you will find out how technologies are positioned against each other and what technological developments manufacturers are making to reduce cost.
IN A CHANGING SUPPLY CHAIN, THERE ARE STILL OPPORTUNITIES FOR NEW ENTRANTS
Infrared detector market growth and emerging applications are attracting new players at various levels of the supply chain and thus are changing the competitive landscape.
o Integrators of infrared detectors:
- Small motion detectors and smart buildings: Lighting is the main building function using IR detectors. Lighting manufacturers like Philips Lighting are increasingly providing such sensors to climb the value chain and thus compete with controls companies like Schneider Electric, Siemens and Honeywell. Motion detectors are a first step before going into more intelligent array detectors for smart buildings.
- Mobile business: Multiple sensors integrated into a module and called ‘sensor hubs’ are increasingly used by mobile phone makers in order to facilitate sensor integration. Which sensor hubs and which company will integrate the new IR spot thermometer function? Will it be inertial hubs from the likes of ST, Invensense and Bosch, environmental hubs from companies like Knowles, Sensirion, Bosch, and ST, or optical hubs from players including Sony, Omnivision or AMS?
o Suppliers of infrared detectors:
The small pyroelectric motion detector market is quite stable with three big players, Excelitas, Nicera and Murata. By contrast, medium and large array products are much more open in terms of potential technologies, including pyroelectric detectors, thermopiles, microbolometers and thermodiodes, which enables various new entrant profiles, from start up like IRLYNX, to large groups like Bosch. New entrants from businesses including IR imaging, thermopiles, or even mainstream semiconductor, could also acquire incumbent players.
The report analyses the current competitive landscape by technology and by company profile, broken down in to startups, SMEs, and large groups, and identifies the potential new entrants and acquisitions targets.
The objectives of this report are to provide:
1. Market data on key Infrared detector market metrics and dynamics:
- Infrared detector sales in units and revenue by market segment
- Market share by player
- Application focus on key growth areas for Infrared technologie
2. Key technical insights into future technology trends and challenges.
3. An in-depth understanding of the IR detector value chain and infrastructure and its players:
- Who are the industrial IR detector players, including integrated device manufacturers (IDMs), foundries and design houses, and what is their market and technological position?
- More generally, who are the key suppliers to watch and how will the IR detector market evolve?
What's new compared to last edition
• Identification of current technological trends and ongoing developments
• Latest industry news and analysis of the new market entrants and exits
• Introduction of linear array products used in HVAC and spectroscopy
• Removal of potential applications that didn’t materialize:
o Gesture recognition for mobiles
o Mobile device internal temperature sensors
• In-depth analysis of:
o Mobile device spot thermometers
o HVAC and other medium arrays
• Updated market forecast with only one scenario