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Sensors for drones and robots: market opportunities and technology revolution
Mar.2016

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6 490 €

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Description

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The already-robust $350M sensors for drones and robots market will double by 2021, reaching $709M at a 12.4% CAGR from 2015 – 2021.

The forthcoming robotics revolution will cover the entire market spectrum

Driven by a full applications range, the sensors for drones and robots market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.4% from 2015 - 2021, reaching a total revenue of US$709M by 2021.

This is Yole Développement’s first report concerning sensors for robots and drones. We’ve witnessed the emerging vitality of the drones and robots markets and their reliance on key sensor technologies like MEMS and imaging sensors. Already-developed technologies for currently maturing markets like mobile and automotive are being brought by innovators into the emerging drones and robots space. As new applications are created, the need for enhanced sensor technology takes its place in the virtuous circle.

Currently, the two largest markets for drones and robots are defense and industrial, both of which owe much to the global policy of the US and China. In the recent years the eastern Pacific Ocean side has seen massive investment in robotic warfare while the western Pacific has made a similar-sized push towards robotic manufacturing. On a global scale, the US is also bolstering its industrial activity by using robotics, while China is boosting its military through the latest robotics technology.

Through our research, we’ve identified at least 10 new applications for which drones and robots will generate more than $1B in revenue per year. As numerous new applications covering the full market spectrum emerge, including consumer drones, autonomous vehicles, hospitality robots, exoskeletons, and telepresence, the drones and robots markets will become less military and manufacturing-oriented. These new applications, which will all enjoy a compound growth rate of 40% and above over the next five years, are detailed in our report.

For each market, a huge diversity of robots and applications are being explored by numerous emerging players. This is a complexity inherent to early-stage markets, where a diversity of competing technologies can coexist. Our report provides a structured vision of this complex ecosystem, which some are calling the “Cambrian explosion”1 of robotics.

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Sensors, which are key enablers for the emerging robotics revolution, will play a role in all applications

A robotic device is a closed loop of actuation, computation, and perception (sensing). The previous two digital and industrial revolutions ushered in the first two capabilities, with sensing the only one still outstanding. Mobile and automotive have been instrumental in the maturation of acoustic, optical, and positional sensors, while new sensor categories like touch, microwave, and environmental will serve drones and robots.

Optical sensors, in particular visible cameras, lidar, and 3D cameras, are the major enablers and beneficiaries of the “drones and robots Cambrian explosion”. Acoustic and positional sensors will also enjoy double-digit growth rates for drones and robots applications. The current $351M drones and robots sensor market will reach $709M by 2021, driven by a CAGR of 12.4%.

During our research, our most eye-opening discovery was the extremely diverse sensor revenue distribution amongst the markets we analyzed. From consumer, commercial, and transport to medical, security, industrial, and defense, every market will generate sensor revenue. Marketing-wise, this is especially beneficial to smaller companies focused on a few specific niches. The drones and robots markets are the perfect target for emerging sensing technologies.

Among the numerous applications relevant to sensors for drones and robots, there isn’t a clear case for cheap volume-oriented sensors versus high-end expensive ones. The drones and robots markets are still emerging, and first must prove their benefit. In this context they are particularly price-conscious at the beginning of product expansion. By our observation, once they have proven themselves the ASP stops shrinking and starts rising again. Performance at low cost is an enabler, but cost for performance is a driving force. This is currently evident in the consumer drone space, along with vacuum cleaner robots and hospitality robots. In the future, we expect to see this trend across the board.

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Key technologies such as 3D cameras, solid-state lidar AND ultraprecise gyros are in development

Emerging players like Parrot, iRobot, and DJI Innovations have been able to extract significant value from their technology and market vision. Agile and technology-savvy, these companies are the templates for new drones and robots companies because of their ability to create from scratch new sensing subsystems like Vision SLAM from iRobot, Parrot’s electronic stabilization camera, and the gyro-stabilized gimbals from DJI. Complete mastery of sensing technology is critical for drones and robots[BS2] companies.

On the flip side, the sensors being developed today have a hard time finding the critical market size needed to sustain R&D efforts. Sensor companies usually rely on other markets or hope for the development of another, i.e. IoT. Therefore, a certain mismatch exists between system-maker expectations and sensor company behavior. At worst, this can be the source of missed opportunities for the entire ecosystem. Our report aims to provide the “big picture” for this emerging field, along with some background on the potential business at sake.

On one hand, there are many perfectly-suited technologies on the market. Ultrasonic rangers, proximity sensors, inertial monitoring units, magnetic and optical encoders, and of course compact camera modules are all ready to be integrated by drones and robots manufacturers. On the other hand, new sensors are preparing to transform our world. Several technologies revolving around 3D sensing (3D cameras, sonar, radar or lidar) and other modalities such as multispectral, IR imaging and gas sensing will be necessary for the robotics revolution to deliver on its promises. Drones and robots are a key opportunity for sensor and system makers, with potentially huge mutual benefits. Let’s be a part of it!

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Objectives of the Report

Identification and analysis of drones and robots applications:

  • Determination of the applications range
  • Market and technology segmentation
  • Market trends and forecasts
  • Key players at application and system levels

Analysis and description of the sensor technologies involved:

  • Sensor forecast per application and technology
  • Major global actors
  • Technology trends
  • Main drivers and challenges

 

Table of contents

• REPORT OBJECTIVES
• METHODOLOGY
• EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

 

 

INTRODUCTION


> Global market roadmap
> Global technology roadmap
> Robotics revolution
> 2015 Drones and robots market landscape
> 2021 Drones and robots market landscape

 

 

MARKET FORECAST


> Market Segmentation
> 2010 - 2021 Drones and robots volume shipment forecast by market
> 2010 - 2021 Drones and robots volume shipment forecast by application
> 2010 - 2021 ASP
> 2010 - 2021 Drones and robots revenue forecast by market
> 2010 - 2021 Drones and robots revenue forecast by application
> Sensor Segmentation
> 2010 - 2021 Sensors volume shipment forecast by sensor type
> 2010 - 2021 Sensors volume shipment forecast by technology
> 2010 - 2021 Sensors revenue forecast by sensor type
> 2010 - 2021 Sensors revenue forecast by technology
> 2010 - 2021 Sensors revenue forecast by market
> 2010 - 2021 Sensors revenue forecast by application
> Sensors for drones and robots market landscape

 


COMPANY ECOSYSTEM


> Drones and robots players
> Sensor players

APPLICATION TRENDS


> Drones
> Consumer robots
> Commercial robots
> Autonomous transport
> Medical robots
> Security robots
> Industrial robots
> Defense robots

 

 

TECHNOLOGY FOCUS


> Acoustic sensors
> Optical sensors
> Positional sensors
> Touch sensors
> Electromagnetic sensors
> Environmental sensors

 

 

CONCLUSIONS AND PERSPECTIVES


> Overview

For each segment (LED wavelength conversion, Phosphor composition, Remote phosphors, Quantum dots…):

> Time Evolution of Patent Publications
> Main Patent Assignees Ranking
> Time Evolution of Patent Assignees

 

 

COMPANY PROFILES


 

 

Companies cited

 

3DR Robotic
ABB
Aerovironment
Aeryon
Aldebaran Robotics
Airinnov
Alps
AMS
AKM
Amazon
BAE Systems
Blue Frog Robotics ,Boeing
Bourns
Bosch
Boston Dynamics
Bruel & Kjaert
Cognex
Cyberdyne
Dalsa
DJI Innovations
Double Robotics
Dyson
e2v
ECA Group
Ecovacs
eHang
EOS innovation
Excelitas
Fanuc
Fairchild
Festo
Flir
Foxconn
Freescale
Gopro
Heptagon
Hexo+
Hokuyo
Honda
Honeywell
Husqvarna
Imsar
Insight Robotics
Intuitive Surgical
Invensense
iRobot

John Deer

Kawada Industries
Keyence

Knightscope

Komatsu

Kongsberg

Kuka
Lely
Lily
Lockeed Martin
Medtech
Melexis
Micasense
Mitsubishi
NASA
Navya
Ninebot
Northrop Gruman
NXP
Olympus
Omron
Omnivision
On Semiconductor
Panasonic
Parrot
Recon Robotics
Restoration Robotics
Rethink Robotics
Safran
Savioke
Sensonor
Sick
Silicon Sensing
Sensefly
Sony
Staubli
STMicroelectronics
TI
Titan Medical
Toshiba
Universal Robots
Velodyne
VGO
Yaskawa
Yuneec
and more.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KEY FEATURES OF THE REPORT

  • Detailed application per market: vacuum cleaners, consumer drones, telepresence robots, exoskeleton, manufacturing robots, military drones, etc.

  • Drones and robots market forecasts [BS1]in units, $US by markets, and by application through 2021

  • Sensors for drones & robots market forecast in units, $US by technology, $US by markets, and by application through 2021

  • Compound annual growth rate forecast by application and technology

  • Competitive landscape by application and technology

  • Comprehensive technology review: microphone, ultrasonic sensors, gyroscopes, accelerometers, visible cameras, 3D cameras, IR cameras, lidar, radar